Tier 3 β Full conviction
flow + Buffett quality + convergence signalFull position ($1500 risk). Strongest evidence: validated flow, quality screen, plus at least one convergence signal (catalyst, insider, activist, skew, or watchlist dip).
Tier 2 β Standard
flow + Buffett qualityStandard position ($1000 risk). Flow gate cleared plus Buffett quality screen (SR +0.42, only validated quality signal).
Tier 1 β Flow only
sustained or extreme flow, no quality gateHalf position ($500 risk). Flow signal alone β no Buffett quality confirmation. Flow-extreme always stays at half regardless of other signals.
β‘ Flow-led picks options momentum + quality convergence β separate composite
Sustained options flow (spike/sustained/both) converging with quality signals. Scored on a separate composite from mainline picks to avoid Path 1 inversion artifacts.
π₯ Flow-extreme picks single-axis flow convergence β long streak + extreme call dominance
Narrower diagnostic than flow-led: streak β₯10 days, TD-confirmed P/C β€0.15 (6:1 calls), avg flow β₯+7 over 5 days. Pre-revenue / small-cap names the multi-path composite structurally misses. Halved risk budget reflects the single-axis nature. Backtest: 92% hit / SR 1.37 on 5d.
π Oracle watch below mechanical cutoff β Oracle-elevated
Names where Oracle wants the setup surfaced (rescan + fresh note) but the mechanical composite is below the 40 cutoff. Not tradeable on this signal alone β they exist for measurement so the system can empirically answer whether Oracle's elevations earn their keep.
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